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Vikings vs. Bears prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats

Fresh off a thrashing of the Green Bay Packers, the Minnesota Vikings (1-0) stay in the NFC North when they take on the Chicago Bears (1-0) at Soldier Field on Sunday afternoon. Despite losing Kyler Murray (concussion) in the first quarter and being outgained 419-239 in Total Yards, the Vikings did enough on offense to capitalize on opportunities created by their defense to dismantle the Packers, 39-22. Carson Wentz was 12/19 for 133 yards and three touchdowns in relief of Murray. On a weekend when points were being scored in record numbers, the Bears led all offenses. More than likely the stat that leaps off the stat sheet above all others: 291 yards gained on just 39 carries (7.5yds/carry). D’Andre Swift scored three touchdowns, and Kyle Monangai carried the ball ten times for 100 yards to pace Chicago. Ben Johnson came out during the preseason and proclaimed that the goal for his offense is to be the most prolific in league history. It may be.

The NFC North looks to be one of the strongest in the NFL which only adds to the importance of every division game. Should the Vikings earn the win and improve to 2-0 in the division, they will most certainly have a major, early-season advantage. Given the Bears’ offensive explosion in Week 1, however, Minnesota will need to be better/more efficient on both sides of the ball. That means longer, sustained drives on offense and quicker stops on defense.

Bottom-line: Without Murray under center, the home team is rightfully favored. Take the Chicago Bears and lay the 5.5 points.

Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find a sweat or two.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Game details and how to watch Vikings vs. Bears

  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 1PM ET
  • Site: Soldier Field
  • City: Chicago, IL
  • TV/Streaming: FOX

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Latest Game Odds for Vikings vs. Bears

The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Minnesota Vikings (+180), Chicago Bears (-218)
  • Spread: Bears -5.5
  • Total: 49.5

The public is in love with the Bears’ offense from Week 1 as the number has moved from a 3.5-point favorite to a 5.5-point favorite. The Total has also swelled some rising from 45.5 points to 49.5 points.

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Rotoworld Bet Best Bets

Expert picks & predictions for Vikings vs. Bears

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Bears and the Vikings:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Bears -5.5.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Total of 49.5.
Will Monangai continue to produce behind Swift?
D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai erupted against the Carolina Panthers for 224 yards, but can Monangai continue to produce consistently behind Swift in the Bears' running back room?

Vikings vs. Bears betting trends and stats

  • The Bears are 1-0 against the spread this season
  • The Vikings are 1-0 against the spread this season
  • Chicago is 1-0 to the OVER this season
  • Minnesota is 1-0 to the OVER this season

Quarterback matchup for Vikings vs. Bears

  • Vikings: Carson Wentz
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 133 Passing Yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, 123.5 RTG
    Kyler Murray
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 18 Passing Yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT, 27.5 RTG
  • Bears: Caleb Williams

    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 269 Passing Yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 124.1 RTG

Top Playmakers: Vikings vs. Bears

Chicago Bears

  • WR Kalif Raymond
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 8 Receptions on 9 Targets for 84 Yds, 0 TDs
  • RB Kyle Monangai
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 10 carries for 100 Yds, 1 TD
  • RB D’Andre Swift
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 18 carries for 124 Yds, 3 TDs

Minnesota Vikings

  • WR Justin Jefferson
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 8 receptions on 9 targets for 92 Yds, 2 TDs
  • TE TJ Hockenson
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 4 receptions on 5 targets for 36 Yds, 1 TD
  • RB Jordan Mason
    2026 Statistics: 1GP, 15 carries for 59 Yds, 1 TD

Vikings vs. Bears Injury Update

Chicago Bears

  • QB Tyson Bagent (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • FS Xavier Woods (groin) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • OT Ozzy Trapilo (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game

Minnesota Vikings

  • QB Kyler Murray (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • RB Jordan Mason (thumb) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Jeshaun Jones (susp) is OUT for Sunday’s game

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