The Buffalo Bills (7-1) visit the New York Jets (2-7) on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium, with the AFC East rivals heading in dramatically different directions. Buffalo sits three games clear of second-place New England atop the division while the Jets have lost four in a row and sit but a half-game out of the cellar in the AFC East.
The Bills enter the week with the NFL’s highest-scoring offense at 32.0 points per game and lead the league with 386.4 yards per game, powered by Josh Allen and a rushing attack featuring James Cook III. The Jets, meanwhile, are averaging just 20.2 points per game which begs the question: Can Geno Smith and the Jets score enough to keep up with the Bills’ elite attack?
Working in the Jets’ favor is that Buffalo has a short turnaround after grinding out a 23-6 road victory over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday night. It was a far more physical game than the final score suggests. The Bills managed just three points on their first six possessions, and Allen threw an early interception, but his 25-yard touchdown pass to Keleki Latu with 44 seconds remaining in the first half gave Buffalo a 10-6 advantage. From there the Bills wore down Minnesota, holding the ball for an extraordinary 42:32 and running 79 offensive plays. Cook carried 31 times for 107 yards, including a five-yard fourth-quarter touchdown, while Allen finished 21-of-31 for 234 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Buffalo’s defense was even better, limiting Minnesota to 178 total yards and nine first downs while forcing three turnovers.
The Jets return home after a 35-12 loss at Kansas City. Despite an early 6-0 lead, New York’s offensive woes were impossible to ignore. Smith and co. repeatedly stalled and had to settle for four Jason Sanders field goals. The Chiefs led just 14-12 at halftime before completely controlling the second half. New York finished with only 229 yards, went 2-for-12 on third down and failed to score a touchdown, while Smith completed 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards and was sacked five times. Breece Hall returned from a five-game absence caused by a quadriceps injury and produced 87 yards from scrimmage, while rookie Omar Cooper Jr. led the Jets with eight catches for 58 yards.
Recent history adds another challenge for New York. Buffalo has won eight of the past 10 meetings, including a couple smacks last season, beating the Jets 30-10 at MetLife Stadium on Sept. 14, 2025 and 35-8 in Buffalo on Jan. 4, 2026.
Let’s dive further into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Bills vs. Jets
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00P
- Site: MetLife Stadium
- City: East Rutherford, NJ
- TV/Streaming: CBS
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Latest Game Odd: Bills vs. Jets
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-520), New York Jets (+390)
- Spread: Bills -8.5
- Total: 50.5
After seeing the Bills’ performance against the Vikings’ defense, the line has move towards Buffalo after opening with the Bills favored by 7. The Total has grown 4 points since opening at 46.5.
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Rotoworld Bet Best Bets
Expert Picks & Predictions: Bills vs. Jets
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Bills and the Jets:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Jets +8.5.
- Total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 55.5.
Here’s why the Jets +8.5 is one of our two best bets for this game:
New York’s underlying numbers are better than a 2-7 record suggests. The Jets rank 9th in yards per play allowed (5.58), 5th in tackle efficiency (93.36), 5th in missed tackle rate (6.64%), 5th in passing yards allowed (226.44 per game), and 7th in pass attempts allowed (30.0 per game). That’s a defense that tackles well and takes away the pass — the exact profile that keeps games within a touchdown. Buffalo’s defense is genuinely vulnerable. The Bills rank 22nd in defensive DVOA (7.1%), 30th in tackle efficiency (88.89), 30th in missed tackle rate (11.11%), 30th in pass attempts allowed (37.5 per game), 25th in receptions allowed (22.88 per game), and 27th in passing touchdowns allowed (1.88 per game). They give up volume through the air and miss tackles in space.
**The head-to-head history is the caution: over the last 10 completed meetings, Buffalo is 8-2 straight up and 7-3 against the spread, with an average final of Bills 28.5, Jets 13.9.**
Here’s why James Cook Anytime Touchdown is our top Player Prop for this game:
The best prop on the board, and the matchup is the reason. New York ranks 22nd in rushing touchdowns allowed (1.11 per game) and 32nd in carries allowed (31.33 per game) — they give up more goal-line work than any team in football. Cook has cashed this prop in 5 straight games. The matchup grade is 28th in defense versus position — the softest draw of any player in this game. The volume case is overwhelming. Buffalo ranks 1st in rushing touchdowns (2.12 per game) and 2nd in rushing yards (146.62 per game), and Cook is the lead back in an offense that’s scoring 32 points a night.
Bills vs. Jets: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Bills are 6-2 against the spread this season
- The Jets are 4-4-1 against the spread this season
- Buffalo is 5-3 to the OVER this season
- New York is 4-5 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Bills vs. Jets
- Bills: Josh Allen
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 2027 Passing Yards, 12 TDs, 6 INTs, 99.3 RTG, Sacked 17 times - Jets: Geno Smith
2026 Statistics: 9GP, 2078 Passing Yards, 12 TDs, 3 INTs, 100.5 RTG, Sacked 28 times
Bills vs. Jets: Top Playmakers
Bills
- RB James Cook III
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 169 carries for 814 Yds, 8 TDs / 12 receptions on 19 targets for 110 Yds, 0 TDs - WR DJ Moore
2026 Statistics: 6GP, 19 receptions on 32 targets for 285 Yds, 2 TDs - TE Dalton Kincaid
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 30 receptions on 38 targets for 429 Yds, 2 TDs
Jets
- RB Braelon Allen
2026 Statistics: 9GP, 120 carries for 598 Yds, 3 TDs / 19 receptions on 23 targets for 102 Yds, 0 TDs - RB Breece Hall
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 66 carries for 224 Yds, 1 TD / 13 receptions on 14 targets for 128 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Omar Cooper Jr.
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 20 receptions on 24 targets for 306 Yds, 2 TDs
Bills vs. Jets: Injury Update
Bills
- LT Dion Dawkins (ribs) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LG Alec Anderson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- NT Greg Gaines (calf) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Joshua Palmer (hamstring) has been placed on the IR and declared OUT for Sunday’s game
- CB Christian Benford (wrist) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Jets
- WR Garrett Wilson (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Joseph Ossai (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Trevin Wallace (groin) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Nahshon Wright (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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