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Are 61 games enough to put Anthony Davis on an All-NBA team?

Tim Frazier, Anthony Davis, Alexis Ajinca

New Orleans Pelicans forward Anthony Davis, center, sits on the bench because of injuries with teammates center Alexis Ajinca, right, and guard Tim Frazier, left, in the first half of an NBA basketball game in New Orleans, Sunday, March 20, 2016. (AP Photo/Max Becherer)

AP

The Pelicans shut down Anthony Davis, who underwent surgery on his knee and shoulder.

But the big question remains: Will Davis make an All-NBA team, triggering the Derrick Rose Rule that would pay him an extra $24 million over his five-year contract extension?

Davis played just 61 games this season – 75.3% of New Orleans’ 82. Here’s how that compares historically with other All-NBA players:

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Nearly 30% of All-NBA players have played all their teams games. More than two-thirds played at least 95% of their teams games.

But an All-NBA season with Davis’ workload is not unprecedented. In fact, a player has played a smaller share of his team’s games 26 times and made an All-NBA team:

PlayerYearTeamGTeam G% of Team G
Gus Johnson1966BAL418051.3%
Scottie Pippen1998CHI448253.7%
Yao Ming2007HOU488258.5%
Dennis Rodman1995SAS498259.8%
Elgin Baylor1962LAL488060.0%
Pete Maravich1978NOJ508261.0%
Dwyane Wade2007MIA518262.2%
Shaquille O’Neal1997LAL518262.2%
Jerry West1968LAL518262.2%
Bob Pettit1965STL508062.5%
Chris Webber2002SAC548265.9%
Shaquille O’Neal1996ORL548265.9%
Yao Ming2008HOU558267.1%
Bernard King1985NYK558267.1%
Hakeem Olajuwon1991HOU568268.3%
Jerry West1963LAL558068.8%
Yao Ming2006HOU578269.5%
Bill Walton1978POR588270.7%
DeMarcus Cousins2015SAC598272.0%
Shaquille O’Neal2006MIA598272.0%
Anfernee Hardaway1997ORL598272.0%
Allen Iverson2002PHI608273.2%
Shaquille O’Neal1998LAL608273.2%
Dwyane Wade2012MIA496674.2%
Jerry West1969LAL618274.4%
Frankie Baumholtz1947CLR456075.0%

Of course, Davis isn’t competing against Scottie Pippen in 1998 or DeMarcus Cousins last year. He’s competing against forwards and centers in 2015-16.

Though Davis typically started at power forward, he played 54% of his minutes at center. Voters should feel comfortable picking him at either position.

Here are games played for Davis’ key All-NBA competitors – forwards in blue, centers in gold (sorted by win shares):

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A majority of his competition has already played more games than him. And most of the rest – Hassan Whiteside, Pau Gasol, Derrick Favors and DeMarcus Cousins – will probably pass him. All four could.

For what it’s worth, Davis has the same win-share total as Hayward.

Voters should weigh whether Davis contributed more in his 61 games (with perhaps a replacement-level boost for the minutes Davis was out) than other players did in however many games they played.

It will be hard for Davis to top Kevin Durant, Kawhi Leonard, LeBron James or Draymond Green at forward. If Davis still ranks ahead of Paul Millsap and LaMarcus Aldridge now, they have time to overtake what would be a slim margin. And that’s all six All-NBA forward slots taken without even getting into Paul George, Gordon Hayward and other dark-horse picks.

Center is more wide open, but Davis’ absence will hurt his case against DeMarcus Cousins, DeAndre Jordan, Al Horford, Hassan Whiteside and Andre Drummond. In any race, 21 missed games should matter. In one this close, they could be the difference.

Simply, it will be close.

Unfortunately for Davis, there’s nothing more he can do on the court to help himself. He just must hope voters still consider his work in 61 games and realize rewarding him with an All-NBA season has plenty of precedent.