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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for Sunday, August 11

It’s Sunday, August 11, and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-48) are in Phoenix for the finale of their 4-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-53).

The Diamondbacks have taken two of the 1st three winning Saturday night 11-1. Corbin Carroll and Jake McCarty each went yard for the Diamondbacks to lead the assault on Philly pitching.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Phillies vs. Diamondbacks live today

● Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024
● Time: 4:10PM EST
● Site: Chase Field
● City: Phoenix, AZ
● TV/Streaming: NBCSP, ARID

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

The latest odds as of Sunday morning:

Money Line: Phillies -120, Diamondbacks +100
Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+135), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under: 9 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

● The Phillies have lost two straight and are 4-9 in their last 13. The Phillies are 31-27 on the road this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +97.

● The Diamondbacks have won their last 2. They are 14-3 in their last 17. They are now 33-26 at home. Arizona has an overall run differential of +61.

Probable starting pitchers for Philadelphia vs. Arizona

Today’s pitching matchup (August 11): Cristopher Sanchez vs. Merrill Kelly

Phillies: Sanchez (8-7, 3.27 ERA) has allowed 46 earned runs and 128 hits while striking out 100 over 126.2 innings
Diamondbacks: Kelly (2-0, 2.19 ERA) has allowed 6 earned runs and 17 hits while striking out 21 over 24.2 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies vs. Diamondbacks on August 11, 2024

● JT Realmuto is 3-9 (.333) in his career against Merrill Kelly

● Trea Turner is 9-21 (.429)in his career against Merrill Kelly

● Arizona is 10-2-1 to the OVER in their last 13 games

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Sunday’s Phillies vs. Diamondbacks game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Phillies vs. Diamondbacks game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports sees greater value in and is leaning towards taking Philadelphia on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the OVER a play on the Total OVER 9 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)