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Paul Skenes and the Pirates vs. Marlins Best bets: Odds, recent stats, and trends for September 9

It’s Monday, September 9th and tonight Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76) host the Miami Marlins (54-89) in the 1st of a 3-game series at PNC Park in the Steel City.

The rookie Skenes takes the mound for the Bucs looking to further his case for the National League Rookie of the Year award. The Pirates knocked off the Nationals yesterday to salvage one game of their three this weekend against Washington.

Offense dominated the weekend as the Marlins took 2 of 3 from the Phillies. Philadelphia took the series opener 16-2 Friday night. Miami took the next 2 outscoring Philly 19-6 in the process.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Marlins vs. Pirates - live today

● Date: Monday, September 9, 2024
● Time: 6:40PM EST
● Site: PNC Park
● City: Pittsburgh, PA
● TV/Streaming: BSFL, SNP

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Marlins vs. Pirates

The latest odds as of Monday afternoon:

Moneyline: Marlins +225, Pirates -275
Spread: Marlins +1.5 (+105), Pirates -1.5 (-125)
Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Marlins vs. Pirates

● Following yesterday’s win, Miami is 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are 26-42 on the road this season. Their overall run differential for the season is now a wow! at -192.

● The Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games. They are 34-38 at PNC Park. Their overall run differential for the season is -50.

● Who’s Hot? Pirates 2B Nick Gonzales is hitting .300 (9-30) in the month of September

● Who’s Not! Pirates OF Bryan Reynolds is hitting just 5-31 (.161) in the month of September

Probable starting pitchers for Miami vs. Pittsburgh

Today’s pitching matchup (September 9): Valente Bellozo vs. Paul Skenes

Marlins: Bellozo (2-2, 3.78 ERA) has allowed 20 earned runs and 44 hits while striking out 33 over 47.2 innings
Pirates: Skenes (9-2, 2.13 ERA) has allowed 27 earned runs and 82 hits while striking out 142 over 114 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Marlins vs. Pirates on September 9, 2024

● Neither side has faced either of these rookie starting pitchers

● The Pirates have won 5 straight against the Marlins and covered the Run Line in each of the 5

● Each of the last 4 games between these teams has gone OVER the Game Total

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Monday’s Marlins vs. Pirates game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for the Marlins vs. Pirates today:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Pirates on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Pirates on the Run Line

- Total Runs: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Total OVER of 7.5 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)