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Orioles vs. Guardians Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 1

It’s Thursday, August 1, and the Baltimore Orioles (65-44) and the Cleveland Guardians (65-42) opens a 4-game weekend series at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH.

Both teams enter the series playing well with the Orioles having won 3 of 4 against the Blue Jays and the Guardians having won 3 straight against the Detroit Tigers. Baltimore is in 1st place in the American League East and the Guardians occupy the penthouse in the AL Central.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Orioles vs. Guardians live today

● Date: Thursday, August 1, 2024
● Time: 6:40 PM EST
● Site: Progressive Field
● City: Cleveland, OH
● TV/Streaming: MASN, BSGL

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Orioles vs. Guardians

The latest odds as of Thursday afternoon:

Moneyline: Orioles -110, Guardians -110
Spread: Orioles -1.5 (+145), Guardians +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under: 9 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Baltimore vs. Cleveland

● Baltimore enters the series having won their last two, but they are just 5-5 in their last 10. They are 31-19 on the road this season. Their overall run differential is +93. Recently promoted Jackson Holliday went yard for his first career home run Wednesday…and it was a grand slam.

● Cleveland is 6-4 in their last 10. They are 33-15 at Progressive Field this season. Their overall run differential is +81.Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 14 hits in 12 games since the All-Star Break.

Probable starting pitchers for Orioles vs. Guardians

Today’s pitching matchup (August 1): Trevor Rogers vs. Ben Lively

Orioles: Rogers (2-9, 4.53 ERA) has allowed 53 earned runs and 115 hits while striking out 85 over 105.1 innings
Guardians: Lively (9-6, 3.44 ERA) has allowed 51 earned runs and 89 hits while striking out 168 over 131 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Orioles vs. Guardians on August 1, 2024

● This is Trevor Rogers’ 1st start as a member of the Baltimore Orioles

● The Guardians are 4-1 against the Run Line in their last 5 games with a rest advantage

● The Under is 7-3 in the Guardians’ last 10 games

● 6 of the Guardians’ last 7 home matchups against the Orioles have stayed UNDER the Total

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Wednesday’s Orioles vs. Guardians game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Orioles vs. Guardians’ game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is leaning towards Baltimore on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Orioles on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the OVER of 7.5 Total Runs (-110)

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)