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Mets vs. Padres Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 23

It’s Friday, August 23, and the Mets (67-61) continue their series in San Diego against the Padres (72-57). Last night, Luis Severino outdueled Dylan Cease and the Mets took Game 1 by the score of 8-3. Mark Vientos picked up a couple hits and drove in 3 runs to pace the Mets’ attack.

San Diego is currently holding a Wild Card spot in the National League, but their hold on a spot is down to 3 games. New York has climbed to within 1½ games of the Braves for the final spot .

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Mets vs. Padres live today

● Date: Friday, August 23, 2024
● Time: 9:40PM EST
● Site: Petco Park
● City: San Diego, CA
● TV/Streaming: SNY, SDPA

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Mets vs. Padres

The latest odds as of Friday morning:

Money Line: Mets +120, Padres -145
Spread: Mets +1.5 (-190), Padres -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under: 8 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insights weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Mets vs. Padres

● New York has won 2 in a row. They are 6-4 in their last 10. New York is 32-28 away from Citi Field this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +32.

● The Padres have lost 2 in a row. They are 6-4 in their last 10. San Diego is 35-31 at home this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +62.

Probable starting pitchers for Mets vs. Padres

Today’s pitching matchup (August 23): Paul Blackburn vs. Joe Musgrove

Mets: Blackburn (5-3, 4.19 ERA) has allowed 34 earned runs and 66 hits while striking out 58 over 73 innings
Padres: Musgrove (3-4, 4.97 ERA) has allowed 32 earned runs and 63 hits while striking out 51 over 58 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets vs. Padres on August 23, 2024

● Manny Machado is a modest 2-5 (.400) in his career against Paul Blackburn

● Francisco Lindor is 7-20 (.350) with 2 HRs in his career against Joe Musgrove

● Who’s Hot? Lindor is 6-12 (.500) in his last 3 games and is hitting .341 in August

● Who’s Not! Francisco Alvarez has just 1 hit in his last 16 ABs (.063) with 9 strikeouts

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Friday’s Mets vs. Padres game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Mets vs. Padres game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Padres on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Total OVER 8 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)