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Mets vs. Padres Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 22

It’s Thursday, August 22, and the Mets (66-61) are on the West Coast for a weekend series against the San Diego Padres (72-56).

Yesterday, Jesse Winker smacked his 1st home run as a member of the New York Mets in the bottom of the 9th to knock off the Baltimore Orioles 4-3. Francisco Lindor belted his 25th home run of the season earlier in the game for New York. The Padres were soundly defeated at home by the Minnesota Twins by the score of 11-4.

With the win, the Mets gained a game on the Braves in the race for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They trail Atlanta now by 1.5 games. San Diego is currently holding a Wild Card spot in the National League, but they have their eyes on a bigger prize…the NL West. The Padres trail the Dodgers by 4 games.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Mets vs. Padres live today

● Date: Thursday, August 22, 2024
● Time: 9:40PM EST
● Site: Petco Park
● City: San Diego, CA
● TV/Streaming: SNY, SDPA

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Mets vs. Padres

The latest odds as of Thursday morning:

Money Line: Mets +135, Padres -160
Spread: Mets +1.5 (-175), Padres -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insights weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Mets vs. Padres

● New York gained a game on the Atlanta Braves in the race for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They are 5-5 in their last 10. New York is 31-28 away from Citi Field this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +27.

● The Padres have been strong since the All-Star Break sporting a record of 22-7. They are 6-4 in their last 10. San Diego is 35-30 at home this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +67.

Probable starting pitchers for Mets vs. Padres

Today’s pitching matchup (August 22): Luis Severino vs. Dylan Cease

Mets: Severino (8-6, 3.91 ERA) has allowed 54 earned runs and 142 hits while striking out 108 over 140.1 innings
Padres: Cease (12-9, 3.46 ERA) has allowed 57 earned runs and 102 hits while striking out 186 over 148.1 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets vs. Padres on August 22, 2024

● Manny Machado has hit 3 HRs in 17 career ABs against Luis Severino

● Francisco Lindor is 3-9 (.333) in his career against Dylan Cease

● Who’s Hot? Francisco Lindor has been held without at least one hit in just two games this month. The veteran shortstop is hitting .333 in August.

● Who’s Not! Francisco Alvarez did hit a walk-off HR earlier this week, but he is just 1 for his last 11 over the past 4 games.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s Mets vs. Padres game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Mets vs. Padres game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Padres on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Total OVER 7.5 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)