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Marlins vs. Mets Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 18

It’s Sunday, August 18, and the Mets (64-59) look to finish off a sweep of the Miami Marlins (45-78) at Citi Field this afternoon in Flushing, NY.

The Mets took Game 2 by the score of 4-0 yesterday thanks to a complete game, 4-hit masterpiece from Luis Severino. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso homered for the Mets to pace the offense.

The win keeps the Mets one game behind the Atlanta Braves for the final Wild Card position.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Marlins vs. Mets live today

● Date: Sunday, August 18, 2024
● Time: 12:05PM EST
● Site: Citi Field
● City: Flushing, NY
● TV/Streaming: ROKU

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Marlins vs. Mets

The latest odds as of Sunday morning:

Money Line: Mets -190, Marlins +155
Spread: Mets -1.5 (+110), Marlins +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under: 8.5 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Marlins vs. Mets

● New York is 5-5 in their last 10. New York is now 33-31 at Citi Field this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +30.

● The Marlins have lost 3 straight and are 3-7 in their last 10. Miami is 21-39 on the road this season. Their overall run differential for the season is -168.

Probable starting pitchers for Marlins vs. Mets

Today’s pitching matchup (August 18): Valente Bellozo vs. Paul Blackburn

Mets: Blackburn (5-3, 4.43 ERA) has allowed 33 earned runs and 62 hits while striking out 54 over 67 innings
Marlins: Bellozo (2-1, 2.28 ERA) has allowed 7 earned runs and 20 hits while striking out 23 over 27.2 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets vs. Marlins on August 18, 2024

● Miami’s Jake Burger is riding a 9-game hitting streak with 15 hits in his last 35 ABs (.428)

● New York is 5-1 to the OVER in their last 6 games

● The Mets have won 6 of their last 7 home games against the Marlins

● Who’s Hot? Francisco Lindor is riding an 11-game hitting streak (.375) for the Mets. In fact, Lindor has gone without a hit in just one game this month. He is 22-65 (.338) in the month of August.

● Who’s Not! Francisco Alvarez is just 2-23 (.087) over his last 7 games for the Mets

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Sunday’s Marlins vs. Mets game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Marlins vs. Mets game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Mets on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Total OVER 8.5 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)