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Marlins vs. Mets Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 17

It’s Saturday, August 17, and the Mets (63-59) continue their weekend series at Citi Field in Flushing, NY against the Miami Marlins (45-77).

The Mets took the opener 7-3. Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil each smacked home runs for New York who pulled to within a game of Atlanta in the chase for the final Wild Card spot with the win.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Marlins vs. Mets live today

● Date: Saturday, August 17, 2024
● Time: 4:10PM EST
● Site: Citi Field
● City: Flushing, NY
● TV/Streaming: BSFL, SNY

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Marlins vs. Mets

The latest odds as of Saturday morning:

Money Line: Mets -190, Marlins +155
Spread: Mets -1.5 (+110), Marlins +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under: 8.5 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Marlins vs. Mets

● Sean Manaea improved to 9-5 with the win last night. He gave up 3 earned runs over 7 innings. New York is 4-6 in their last 10. New York is now 32-31 at Citi Field this season. Their overall run differential for the season is +26.

● The Marlins have lost 2 straight and are 3-7 in their last 10. Miami is 21-38 on the road this season. Their overall run differential for the season is -164.

Probable starting pitchers for Marlins vs. Mets

Today’s pitching matchup (August 17): Max Meyer vs. Luis Severino

Mets: Severino (7-6, 4.17 ERA) has allowed 62 earned runs and 123 hits while striking out 109 over 133.2 innings
Marlins: Meyer (3-2, 5.20 ERA) has allowed 21 earned runs and 37 hits while striking out 30 over 36.1 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets vs. Marlins on August 17, 2024

● Miami’s Jake Burger is 4-10 (.400) with 2 HRs in his career against Luis Severino

● The OVER has cashed in 5 straight games for the Mets

● The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 home games against the Marlins

● Who’s Hot? Mark Vientos has hits in 4 straight games (5-13) for the Mets

● Who’s Not! Ali Sanchez is just 3-29 (.103) in August for the Marlins

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Saturday’s Marlins vs. Mets game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Marlins vs. Mets game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Mets on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Total OVER 8.5 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)