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Guardians vs. Phillies Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for July 28

It’s Sunday, July 28, and the Cleveland Guardians (62-42) and Philadelphia Phillies (65-39) are all set to square off for a third time this weekend at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The two division leaders - the Guardians reside atop the American League Central and the Phillies are in complete control of the National League East – have split the first two games of this series. Saturday, Tyler Phillips tossed a 4-hit shutout over the Guardians.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Guardians vs. Phillies live today

● Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024
● Time:1:35 PM EST
● Site: Citizens Bank Park
● City: Philadelphia, PA
● TV/Streaming: Bally Sports Great Lakes, NBCSP, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Guardians vs. Phillies

The latest odds as of Sunday morning:

Money Line: Guardians +115, Phillies -135
Spread: Guardians +1.5 (-175), Phillies -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 9 runs

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Recent team stats for Cleveland vs. Philadelphia

● The Guardians were shut out by the Phillies on Saturday to square the series at one game apiece. They are now 4-6 in their last 10. On the road this season, Cleveland is 29-27 with an overall run differential of +71.

● The Phillies are also 4-6 in their last 10 following their win last night. They have been dominant at home compiling a record of 38-17 at Citizens Bank. Their overall run differential is +115.

Probable starting pitchers for Guardians and Phillies

Today’s pitching matchup (July 28): Joey Cantillo vs. Kolby Allard

○ Guardians: Cantillo (0-0, 0.00) is making his major league debut this afternoon
○ Phillies: Allard (0-1, 6.57 ERA) has allowed 9 earned runs and 16 hits while striking out 13 over 12.1 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Guardians vs. Phillies on July 28, 2024

· The Guardians have gone under the total in 10 of their last 12 games

· The Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 games vs. the Guardians

· Bryce Harper is just 3-21 (2 HRs and 1 2B) over his last 5 games

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Sunday’s Guardians vs. Phillies game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Guardians vs. Phillies game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is leaning towards taking the Phillies

- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending the Phillies on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards the UNDER 9 Total Runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)