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Astros vs. Red Sox Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, and trends for August 11

It’s Sunday, August 11, and the Boston Red Sox (61-54) host the Houston Astros (61-55) this afternoon at Fenway Park.

It’s the finale of their weekend series. The Astros have taken the first two games. Yordan Alvarez belted a pair of home runs yesterday to lead the Astros to a 5-4 win.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, lineup cards, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Astros vs. Red Sox live today

● Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024
● Time: 1:35PM EST
● Site: Fenway Park
● City: Boston, MA
● TV/Streaming: SCHN, NESN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Game odds for Astros vs. Red Sox

The latest odds as of Sunday morning:

Moneyline: Red Sox +120, Astros -145
Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-130), Astros -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under: 10 runs

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Recent team stats for Astros vs. Red Sox

● The Red Sox have lost 3 straight and are 5-5 in their last 10. Boston is 27-30 at Fenway Park this season. Their overall run differential is +29.

● Houston has won 4 straight and are 6-4 in their last 10. They are now 29-29 on the road. Houston’s overall run differential for the season is +49.

Probable starting pitchers for Houston vs. Boston

Today’s pitching matchup (August 11): Hunter Brown vs. James Paxton

Red Sox: Paxton (9-3, 4.42 ERA) has allowed 49 earned runs and 93 hits while striking out 73 over 99.2 innings
Astros: Brown (9-7, 3.98 ERA) has allowed 54 earned runs and 121 hits while striking out 130 over 122 innings

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Astros vs. Red Sox on August 11, 2024

● Jose Altuve is hitting .333 (11-33) with 2 HRs and 3 RBIs vs. James Paxton

● Alex Bregman is hotting .276 (8-29) in his career against James Paxton

● The OVER has cashed in the Red Sox’s last 5 games with James Paxton as the opener dating back to last season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Sunday’s Astros vs. Red Sox game

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Astros vs. Red Sox game:

- Moneyline: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on Houston on the Moneyline

- Spread: NBC Sports sees greater value in and is recommending a play on the Astros on the Run Line

- Total runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Total UNDER 10 runs

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)