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Stat attack!: OHL Classic at Mayakoba preview

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This week’s OHL Classic at Mayakoba is the final event of the year on the PGA Tour, but not the final event of the season. That incongruity comes thanks to the wraparound schedule the Tour implemented last year. What we have this week is the finish to the Fall Series – and so far during the North American portion, youngsters have dominated. All four domestic winners are in their 20s, led by 26-year-old Nick Taylor (shown), who won last week’s Sanderson Farms Championship in Mississippi.

PGA Tour Fall Series winners in 2014-15

WinnerTournamentAgeCareer wins
Sang-Moon Bae Frys.com Open282
Ben Martin Shriners Las Vegas 271
Robert Streb McGladrey Classic271
Ryan Moore CIMB Classic314
Bubba Watson WGC-HSBC Champions367
Nick Taylor Sanderson Farms261

Martin, Streb and Taylor are all playing at Mayakoba this week and are looking to become the first player to win two Fall Series events in the same year. Of the three, only Martin has experience in Mexico, having finished T31 a year ago. Streb and Taylor are making their tournament debuts.


Similarity scores

If Martin, Streb and Taylor don’t have the pedigree to win the OHL Classic, who does? How about this pair of young veterans who share a similar name as well as a penchant for playing well south of the border? Chris Stroud and Brian Stuard – or is that Chris Stuard and Brian Stroud? – have combined for five top-five finishes in this event. Both average below 70 strokes per round in the tournament, with Stuard’s 67.25 average the lowest among players with eight or more rounds in the event. Stroud, who has played Mayakoba all seven years of its existence, is sixth in scoring average among players with 20 or more rounds in the event.

Career record at the OHL Classic of Brian Stroud and Chris Stuard

Player2007200820092010201120122013
Chris StroudMCT-12T-60T-404T-5T-3
Brian Stuard T-2 2

Lowest career scoring average at the OHL Classic: Minimum eight rounds

PlayerRounds Scoring avg.
Brian Stuard867.25
Matt Kuchar867.88
Jason Bohn868.00
David Toms868.13
Robert Appleby868.13
John Huh868.13

Lowest career scoring average at the OHL Classic: Minimum 20 rounds

PlayerRoundsScoring avg.
Charles Howell III2068.90
J.J. Henry2068.90
Jarrod Lyle2068.90
Brian Gay2468.96
Briny Baird2468.96
Chris Stroud2669.04

Lucky seven

Stroud has played the Mayakoba Classic every year, but because he missed the cut in the premiere event in 2007, he doesn’t have the distinction of playing the weekend every year. That honor goes to a pair of veterans – Kevin Stadler and Cameron Beckman. They are among five players in this year’s field who have played Mayakoba at least five times and never missed the cut.

Most starts at the OHL Classic without missing the cut*

PlayerStartsBest finish
Kevin Stadler7T-9 in 2010
Cameron Beckman7Won in 2010
John Merrick6T-3 in 2008
Charles Howell III5

T-6 in 2013

J.J. Henry5Second in 2009

*Among players in the 2014 field.


Split seasons

When Harris English beat Stuard by four strokes a year ago, he did so on the strength of his putting. He ranked first in the field in putts per GIR and fifth in total putts with 108. He was especially good with the flatstick in Round 2, when his nine-birdie, no-bogey 62 was the week’s best score.

It was part of a stretch during which English could do no wrong. He made the cut in his first 13 starts of the 2013-14 season. The victory in Mexico was the highlight of a run that included six top-10 finishes, including a solo fourth at the Sony Open in Hawaii.

His cut streak ended at the Masters and his year hasn’t been gratifying since. English has made just eight cuts in 18 starts, with one top-10 finish, a T-7 at the Travelers Championship.

From the Masters to date, English’s scoring average has risen by more than a stroke and a half, and his GIR percentage has dropped from 73 percent to 64 percent. His putts per GIR has risen from 1.754 to 1.791.

Putting some English on it: Harris English’s up-and-down season

Time frameStartsCuts madeTop 10sMoneyScor. avg.GIRPutts per GIR
October 2013-
March 2014
13136$2,535,30369.1773.03%1.754
April 2014-
November 2014
1881516,31970.9064.311.791

Long hitters need not apply

PGA Tour stats were not available from the OHL Classic at Mayakoba prior to 2012, but it’s apparent when looking at the past winners that length off the tee is not a requirement for success. Until English’s win a year ago, the Mayakoba champion had never finished in the top 100 in driving distance that season. Two past champs – Brian Gay in 2008 and Fred Funk in 2007 – were in the bottom five in distance during the year they won at Mayakoba.

The Mayakoba winner’s season rank in driving distance

YearWinnerSeason driving distance (rank)
2013Harris English299.2 (26)
2012John Huh288.3 (113)
2011Johnson Wagner282.2 (160)
2010Cameron Beckman285.7 (115)
2009Mark Wilson284.3 (118)
2008Brian Gay270.5 (196)
2007Fred Funk271.8 (193)

One final thought: What a difference a year makes for Robert Streb. The McGladrey Classic champion is leading the FedEx Cup race and is the only player to have three top-10 finishes in the short season. Last year, Streb earned just 18 FedEx Cup points during the Fall Series and was T-160 at the year-end hiatus.

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