My week’s seem to just keep getting better and better. I managed a respectable 67 points in the official game moving from the top 8.7% through to the top 5.8% - It may not sound like much but with over 3.5 million players, it’s means I’m doing better than 3.3 million players. Fantrax was equally good with 142.9 points in the AMCR FFC league giving me a head-to-head win over the league winner Data Head and moving up to 5th overall. In the Fantrax Beat the Bloggers league I moved from 124th straight up to 69th with a respectable 149 points. Lastly I managed a distinctly average 135.75 (I can’t believe that’s average) but I don’t know how that will have affected my 33rd place overall until after the Swansea match. Overall, it’s all going well and I think I’m looking for some of my best finishes because a lot of your final position seems to be dependent on how you perform at the start.
I’ve also started to get into MondoGoal and I seem to have a fairly good system. I bought in for £20 three weeks ago and currently I’m up to £72.16 – yes, it’s not massive money but that’s not always the point – winning regularly seems to be the key. I was frustrated with Hazard not playing though as his inclusion would have probably moved me up from 32nd overall to 7th and an extra £80. On the plus side, at this rate I should have a 4 figure profit by the end of the season.
One thing that I have found strange this season compared to others (and the YFF game) is that there appears to be little benefit in holding onto players at a discount. For starters, the prices don’t seem to go up anywhere near as fast in the new games and secondly, without Aguero, there hasn’t appeared to be anyone who it’ worth holding onto? Vardy maybe?
Predictor
Well what a weekend of matches we have coming up with both the Tyne-Wear Derby and the Manchester Derby. It’s important to remember that derby matches can largely ignore the probabilities and go whichever way they feel like. The predictor puts the home team as favourites (as they generally are) with Sunderland at 56% favourite and United a 51% favourite. You must remember that whilst these seem like higher than average probabilities, they effectively say that if the match could be played 100 time, they would win overall but with just a single match anything can happen. Personally, I think both games will be difficult to call as the away teams are both coming in off the back of great results. I’m sure there will be goals in these matches, quite a few in fact so by all means look at the attackers but definitely look elsewhere for your defenders.
There’s actually another derby going on this weekend (well sort of) with Chelsea and West Ham squaring off. Both teams come into this off the back of great results albeit that Chelsea is the first good one for a while. Personally I think that this is another one that’s too close to call. Has the Chelsea revival started? I’m not convinced but I wouldn’t be shocked if Costa got his name back on the scoresheet.
Poisson
The highest scoring matches look to be Leicester vs Palace and the Manchester Derby which should surprise no one. The lowest scoring matches, well the ones where you should be thinking about defenders are Aston Villa vs Swansea, Stoke vs Watford and Bournemouth vs Spurs. I would personally recommend the Stoke and Watford defences – which is something I never thought I’d say.
So that’s all from me, see you next week.
