Goals were the theme across the first six matches of Matchweek 32. The action began with a bang on Friday at Goodison Park, where Harry Kane and Gylfi Sigurdsson scored twice as Everton and Tottenham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. On Saturday, Jesse Lingard continued his fine run of form with another goal. However, his fifth goal in as many matches was not enough to secure a victory for West Ham United in a 3-2 defeat at Newcastle United. Elsewhere, on Sunday, Mason Greenwood and Paul Pogba extended their hot streaks in Manchester United’s 3-1 win over Burnley. Greenwood has now scored four goals in his last three appearances, while Pogba has assisted on all three of his starts since returning to the starting XI.
With four matches across the next three days, here is a list of my favorite prop bets PointsBet Sportsbook has to offer for this week’s Premier League action.
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Chelsea (-176) vs. Brighton (+475) | Tuesday 3:00 p.m. ET
Thomas Tuchel’s side enter the match on the heels of their advancement to the FA Cup final after a 1-0 win over Manchester City on Sunday. Chelsea face West Ham United on Sunday and Real Madrid in the next Champions League on Tuesday, which means Tuchel will rotate his squad ahead of two crucial matches in short succession. Mason Mount, Kai Havertz, and Ben Chilwell have all started the last four games, which means Hakim Ziyech, Timo Werner, and Marcos Alonso could return to the starting XI.
The odds implied probability gives Chelsea a 63.4 percent chance to win the match and a 55.6 percent chance to score over 1.5 goals. The odds seem right, considering Chelsea have been great at home under Tuchel in league play despite a 5-2 defeat in their last outing against West Brom. West Brom scored all five of their goals following the dismissal of Thiago Silva. This is important to remember when looking at this match. Before the red card, Chelsea had scored seven goals and conceded none in 390 minutes of action at Stamford Bridge.
Prop Tip – Christian Pulisic Anytime Goalscorer (+190)
Tammy Abraham (+145) and Olivier Giroud (+145) are not in the equation since neither has started in quite some time. With Havertz (+200) likely to start from the bench, the two best options are Christian Pulisic (+190) and Timo Werner (+190). Pulisic has my attention since he has popped on each of his last two starts. The American struck twice against Crystal Palace and would have had a third if not for a goal-line clearance. Three goals on four shots on target over his 136 minutes of league play are enough for me to give Pulisic the stamp of approval.
Prop Tip – Marcos Alonso to Assist a Goal (+550)
If you are looking for a juicier payout, then the player to back is undoubtedly Alonso. The left-wingback has a license to get forward early and often in Chelsea’s system, and the Spaniard always produces. Alonso has taken 12 shots and produced eight key passes in his last four starts. There is also his appeal on direct set-pieces. Depending on Thomas Tuchel’s selection, we could see the wingback benefit and handle all the dangerous free-kicks. The volume of chances Alonso creates suggests he will be involved in a goal against Brighton.
Leicester City (-176) vs. West Brom (+475) | Thursday 3:00 p.m. ET
Leicester City have suffered back-to-back defeats, and West Brom have back-to-back for the first time this season. Sam Allardyce’s side boasts three clean sheets and just four goals conceded in their last six games. While West Brom’s recent improvement in defense is noteworthy, the resurgence does not waver my confidence in the form of Kelechi Iheanacho.
Prop Tip – Kelechi Iheanacho Anytime Goalscorer (+105)
Iheanacho has arguably been the most in-form striker across the Premier League since the beginning of March. During this span, he ranks co-first in goals (7), joint-third in shots on target (9), and sixth in shots (17) among all Premier League players. With a goal in the FA Cup semi-final win over Southampton on Sunday, Iheanacho has now accounted for 76.9 percent of Leicester City’s goals over their last seven matches in all competitions. He enters the mid-week fixture averaging a shot roughly every 23 minutes and a shot on target every 39 minutes over his previous five appearances in all competitions.
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