If Miami loses, they can kiss the postseason goodbye with less than a 1% chance of getting in, but with a win, the current 10% raises to 14%, so there’s still a chance. Cleveland, at 3-12, is tied for the second-worst record in the NFL.
The Browns go to Baltimore next week, so they will either play spoiler or the top draft pick. Cleveland is one win away from the top spot, so they may lose out on purpose, which is why Dorian Thompson-Robinson is starting again.
The Dolphins are 7-8 on the season and won five of the past seven games. Miami is coming off a 29-17 win versus the 49ers and heads to New York to take on the Jets next week to wrap up the regular season. With the Browns (3-12) and Jets (4-11) remaining, Miami needs to win these two games and receive a landslide of help to make the playoffs.
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Game Details and How to watch the Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns on Sunday
· Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
· Time: 4:05 PM EST
· Site: Huntington Bank Stadium
· City: Cleveland, OH
· TV/Streaming: CBS
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Game odds for Dolphins vs. Browns
The latest odds as of Saturday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Miami Dolphins (-298), Cleveland Browns (+240)
Spread: Miami -6.5 (-105)
Total: 37.5
The opening spread has not budged but the total dropped from 41.5 to 37.5 after the recent play and injury news on Cleveland’s Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Dorian Thompson-Robinson to go Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns:
“For +110 odds, DTR to not throw a touchdown is going to be in my pocket.
DTR has zero touchdown passes and five interceptions on the year. Last week, he threw 34 passes completing 20 of them for 157 yards and no scores but two interceptions. DTR is more of a ghreat with his legs to score, as he recorded nine rushing attempts for 49 yards.
With a game total of 37.5 and DTR missing practice this week, I expect a low-scoring effort from Cleveland and another outing like the last for DTR.”
Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns team stats, betting trends
- Cleveland is 4-11 ATS, ranking second-worst to Tennessee (2-13).
- Miami is 6-9 ATS, ranking tied for sixth-worst.
- Cleveland is 2-5 ATS at home, ranking tied for fifth-worst.
- Miami is 3-4 ATS on the road and 1-0 ATS as a road favorite.
- The Dolphins are 8-7 to the Under, ranking top 10.
- The Browns are 9-6 to the Under, tied for 5th-best.
- Dorian Thompson-Robinson has zero passing touchdowns and five interceptions.
- Jerry Jeudy had his streak of 64-plus yards over five games snapped with 20 yards on two receptions last week.
- Tua Tagovailoa has three interceptions in his last six games, all coming in one outing. He has tossed at least one touchdown in every game.
- De’Vone Achane had a season-high of 190 total yards 120 of that coming on the ground.
Quarterback matchup for Miami vs. Cleveland
Miami: Tua Tagovailoa – Tagovailoa has 19 touchdowns to seven interceptions on the season and went 1-1 last week. Tagovailoa has tossed at least one touchdown pass in every start this season and has only one game with an interception over the last six outings.
Cleveland: Dorian Thompson-Robinson - DTR went 20-of-34 against the Bengals for 157 yards and two interceptions, plus nine carries for 49 yards. DTR has yet to throw a touchdown this season but has five interceptions.
Dolphins and Browns injury update
Miami’s LB Bradley Chubb (knee), OL Terron Armstead (knee), and OL Kendall Lamm (back) are questionable, while OL Austin Jackson (knee) and LS Blake Ferguson (rest) are out.
Cleveland’s WR Cedric Tillman (concussion), LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (neck), OL Jedrick Wills (knee), TE David Njoku (knee), and RB Nick Chubb (foot) are out, whole QB Jameis Winston (shoulder), LB Khaleke Hudson (ankle) and DT Mike Hall (ankle) are questionable.
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