The stakes are high for both the Chiefs (14-1) and the Steelers (10-5) Wednesday in Pittsburgh.
Looking to win an unprecedented 3rd straight Super Bowl, Patrick Mahomes and KC can clinch the top seed in the AFC playoffs with a win on Christmas. A loss means the 1-seed is still in play heading into the final week of the regular season.
Meanwhile, Russell Wilson and the Steelers remain atop the AFC North despite this past weekend’s loss to the Ravens, but they need to win out to insure they secure that division crown, the 3-seed, and a home game to open the playoffs.
The Steelers have lost two of their last three games. The issue has been a lack of offense with Pittsburgh scoring 13 and 17 points in their two most recent losses. It is probably not a coincidence WR George Pickens (hamstring) has been on the sidelines each of the last three weeks. Good news for Steelers’ fans: the Pittsburgh deep threat is looking more and more likely to return Wednesday.
Kansas City is one of four teams in the entire league who has yet to score 31 points in a game. The other three – the Patriots, Giants, and Raiders – have a combined record of 7-34. Always just good enough to win is basically the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes and co. have won 16 consecutive one-score games. That is an amazing stat that dates back into last season. Unbelievably efficient or on an amazing streak of good fortune? Not sure it matters but it is probably a little bit of both.
Lets dive into the matchup and find a few sweats.
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Game details and how to watch Chiefs at Steelers
· Date: December 25, 2024
· Time: 1 PM ET
· Site: Acrisure Stadium
· City: Pittsburgh, PA
· TV/Streaming: Netflix
Latest Game Odds for Chiefs at Steelers
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-142), Pittsburgh Steelers (+120)
· Spread: Chiefs -2.5
· Total: 43.5
Expert picks & predictions for Chiefs at Steelers
NBC Sports Bet Best Bets
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between Kansas City and Pittsburgh:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Chiefs on the Moneyline
- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Chiefs ATS.
- Total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Total UNDER 43.5.
Chiefs at Steelers Stats, Betting Trends
· The Chiefs are 6-8-1 against the spread this season.
· The Chiefs are 7-8 to the OVER this season.
· The Chiefs have won three straight against the Steelers.
· The Steelers are 10-5 against the spread this season.
· The Steelers are 8-7 to the OVER this season.
· The Steelers are 23-14 overall against the Chiefs.
Quarterback Matchup for Chiefs at Steelers
· Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes – has not thrown an interception since the Chiefs’ loss to the Bills on November 17. Has only thrown 2 INTs in the last 8 weeks.
· Pittsburgh: Russell Wilson – has thrown 15 TD passes and 4 INTs this season. He has been sacked in every game at least once and 24 times in total this season.
Chiefs at Steelers Injury Report
- Kansas City WR Xavier Worthy (ankle) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Kansas City DT Chris Jones (calf strain) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Kansas City RT Jawaan Taylor (knee strain) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Kansas City LB Jack Cochrane will miss the rest of the season after fracturing his ankle.
- Pittsburgh WR George Pickens (hamstring) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Pittsburgh DT Larry Ogunjobi (groin) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Pittsburgh QB JustinFields (abdomen) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Pittsburgh CB Donte Jackson (back) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
- Pittsburgh SS DeShon Elliott (groin) is questionable for Wednesday’s game.
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