It’s Monday, January 6, and the Miami Heat (17-16) and the Sacramento Kings (17-19) are all set to square off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.
No Jimmy Butler for the Heat tonight as he continues to serve his team-imposed suspension. Miami has lost 2 straight. Saturday they were blasted by the Jazz in South Beach 136-100. Nikola Jovic led the Heat with 17 points in the loss. The Kings have not yet lost in 2025 (3-0) and have won 4 in a row overall. They hammered Golden State on Sunday 129-99 with Malik Monk pouring in 26 points.
The Heat are currently 6-9 on the road with a point differential of +1, while the Kings have a 5-5 record in their last ten games at home.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details re: Heat at Kings today
- Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
- Time: 10:00 pm EST
- Site: Golden 1 Center
- City: Sacramento, CA
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.
Game odds for Heat at Kings
The latest odds as of Monday:
- Odds: Miami Heat(+125), Sacramento Kings (-148)
- Spread: Kings -2.5
- Over/Under: 224.5 points
That gives the Heat an implied team point total of 111.69, and the Kings 113.
Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports’ Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!
Expert picks & predictions for Monday Heat vs. Kings game
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) doesn’t love it but is running with the visitors: Miami Heat +3.5
“Holding my nose and backing the dysfunctional Heat, let’s hope their culture shows up while the back-to-back Kings play tired.”
Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) is on the home team: Sacramento Kings -3.5
“The Kings are rolling right now. Typically, after a blowout you’d want to take the team to bounce back. However, game one of a LONG road trip isn’t the time. For me, you fade them today against the Kings and the last game against the Lakers.”
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Heat & Kings game:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Miami Heat at +2.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the UNDER on the Game Total of 224.5.
Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!
Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Heat vs. Kings on Monday
- The Heat have won 9 of 16 games following a loss
- 7 of the Kings’ last 9 home games against the Heat have gone OVER the Total
- The Heat have covered in 3 of their 4 games against Western Conference Pacific Division teams this season
- The Heat have won 14 of their last 20 road games against teams with losing records
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
