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This year’s edition of premium Betting Tools is the finest we’ve ever produced. Take advantage of our exclusive features which can assist you in finding value on the board. You don’t want to lock in any of your NBA wagers without consulting our tools, teeming with cutting-edge analytics and information. From our Edge Finder to game predictions, top trends, Key Numbers and player prop projections, we’re confident these are the sharpest NBA betting tools we’ve ever produced.
Key numbers represent the most common score difference (Margin of Victory) or score total (Total Points Scored) between two teams at the end of a game. When considering the spread or Total, bettors should avoid key numbers because they provide no edge on either side. Instead, it is often beneficial to bet a value that is half-a-point above or below a key number. Then, in the likely event that the final margin or Total is a key number, there cannot be a push. The Key Numbers tool allows users to discover the most common margins and totals for a variety of tailored game scenarios by selecting the desired filters. In addition to identifying the key numbers, the tool demonstrates the edge provided by shopping and/or buying points to avoid the key numbers.
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Today, we’re customizing the Key Numbers tool to synthesize whether the Warriors-Suns margin of victory (spread) or combined game score (Total) is worth mining for betting value. The spread for tomorrow’s contest currently sits at Phoenix -6, but as the Key Numbers tool reflects, the Total (217.5) could offer more optimal betting value. See how data from this season illustrates whether the Over or Under is a sharper bet:
NBA Key Numbers | Christmas Edition
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns, 5 PM ET
Using our Key Numbers data, we can extract two crucial hints that can help inform our betting strategy for Golden State-Phoenix on Christmas. This game’s spread is set at Phoenix -6, but bettors who blindly ride the Suns minus the points or the Warriors plus the points are taking a sizable risk either way. The most common margins for games that the Suns and Warriors have played this season consist of a wide array of numbers with little to offer when evaluating the spread for this game. Moreover, since the line as it is currently set has no half-point hook, any wager ATS in this matchup is a shot in the dark.
However, when shifting our attention to the Over/Under at 217.5, we can uncover where the sharp betting value lies between these two powerhouses. One might assume with two extremely talented teams that they would consistently run up the score on opponents and thus bump up their Totals. When evaluating the Key Numbers trends for both teams, it’s not hard to discern that Warriors and Suns games this season have consistently ended with under 217 combined points. Totals are going Under 217.5 at 62% rate (38/61 games) between Golden State and Phoenix, and when you consider the half-point on top of the Key Number of 217, the Under looks like a merry Christmas Day wager.
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