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Playoff races in Major League Baseball are beginning to take shape as the Yankees and Red Sox play a day-night doubleheader in the Bronx today. Boston is 10-3 on the Money Line vs. the Yankees this season and will hand the ball to Tanner Houck, while the Yankees counter with Jordan Montgomery.
Boston Red Sox (-142) vs. New York Yankees (+120) Total: 7
The Boston Red Sox have owned the New York Yankees so far this season, going 10-3 overall and winning four of six in the Bronx. Today’s starter for the Yankees Jordan Montgomery is 0-3 vs the Red Sox this season.
The Yankees have battled back in the second half of the season. Since the All-Star break, the Yankees are 20-9 on the Money Line and only a game and a half out of a wildcard spot. The Red Sox on the other hand have slowed down in the second half of the season. They are on a three-game winning streak (all coming against the Baltimore Orioles, the Red Sox are just 14-15 on the Money Line since the All-Star break.
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Most shops opened up today’s game with the Red Sox as a -150 favorite, but that number has dropped down to around -140 consensus. This shows that the public is riding the Yankees’ hot streak, making the Bronx Bombers a trendy Underdog this afternoon. Since I fade trendy dogs I’m not taking the plus money with the Yankees.
In their 13 matchups this season the Under is 9-4 and it has cashed in each of the last four Yankees vs. Red Sox matchups. Those games all closed with a Total of 8.5 or higher. Today’s total is only 7 which is very enticing for Over bettors. However, the best bet is to probably fade the Over as well.
Edge Finder Tip: The Under has cashed in each of the Yankees last five home games.
EDGE: Under 7
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