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MLB Best Bets for August 9

Julio Urías

Julio Urías

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

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We have a splendid baseball slate in store for Tuesday as we begin some good series around the league, and it’s about time we get to some best bets. Here’s how I’m seeing the card.

St. Louis Cardinals (-176) vs. Colorado Rockies (+145) Total: 11

Now, I don’t usually do this, but how about a little love for the Colorado Rockies? They’re at home, after all, and at home they are 30-27 this season. When hosting NL Central opponents at Coors Field, they’re 7-3. However you slice it, this is a split that works for Colorado.

Speaking of splits, Ryan Feltner — who starts Tuesday for the Rockies — owns a 4.73 ERA at home and a 6.26 ERA on the road. It’s obvious he’d like to pitch here at Coors Field, and another thing that’s apparent is that he’s figuring things out with just three earned runs over his last 10 1/3 innings.

St. Louis is red hot, but most of its success can be attributed to its pitching. In the land where balls will fly, I think the Rockies can out-hit the Cards.

Edge: Rockies +145

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Minnesota Twins (+190) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-236) Total: 8

One of my favorite trends in baseball will be put to the test again on Tuesday when Julio Urías takes the ball for the Dodgers against the Twins. The Dodgers lefty has helped the under cash in 17 of his 21 starts, and I think he’ll bring that number to 18 in L.A.

The Twins are not only 16th in wRC+ in the last two weeks but 14th in wRC+ to left-handed pitching this season. Their middling performance will make life that much easier for Urias, who has been downright insane this season with a hard-hit rate inside the top 9% of the league for a fourth straight season.

On the other side of the ball, Joe Ryan has a very solid 3.76 career ERA through 117 1/3 career innings now with a low .208 xBA and 3.39 xERA. He’s been fine, and that’s really all you need when you might get a shutout on the other side of things.

Edge: Under 8