The spotlight in college basketball Friday night is focused on the fight for first in the Big Ten as arch-rivals Michigan State (21-5, 12-3) and Michigan (20-5, 12-2) meet in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines currently hold a 1/2 game lead over the Spartans.
Sparty takes the court having won their last two and three of their last four games. Tuesday night, Tom Izzo’s squad took out the Purdue Boilermakers 75-66. Michigan has won six straight. The Wolverines won a tight game in Columbus last Sunday, defeating Ohio State 86-83.
Michigan is a perfect 12-0 at home while Michigan State is 5-2 on the road.
Lets dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the opening tip, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Game details & how to watch Michigan State at Michigan
- Date: Friday, February 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM EST
- Site: Crisler Center
- City: Ann Arbor, MI
- Network/Streaming: FOX
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Game odds for Spartans at Wolverines
*odds courtesy of BetMGM
- Odds: Michigan State Spartans (+125), Michigan Wolverines (-155)
- Spread: Wolverines -2.5
- Total: 152.5 points
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Expert picks & predictions for Michigan State at Michigan
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Sparty tonight: Michigan State +3.5 (-110)
“The Spartans have been one of the most impressive teams in the last two games going on second-half runs against Illinois and Purdue to close out those games. Michigan is on a six-game winning streak that will truly be tested here as this is shaping up to be a two-team race for the Big Ten No. 1 seed. Michigan State could really live off turnovers and the transition game here and that’s what I am banking on in what should be a one-to-two possession game. Give me MSU +3.5 and sprinkle the ML.”
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, injuries, and the schedule.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Spartans & Wolverines game:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on Michigan State on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Michigan State Spartans +2.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 152.5.
Spartans vs Wolverines: Top betting trends and recent stats
- Michigan State has won 7 of its last 10 games
- Michigan has won 8 of its last 10 games
- 7 of Sparty’s last 9 games (78%) have stayed under the Total
- Michigan is 1-4 against the spread in its last 5 at home
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NCAA Basketball Top Trends Tool on NBCSports.com!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)