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NCAA Tournament - Xavier vs. Texas Predictions: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Stats

Two bubble teams square off Wednesday in the final game of the First Four. The Xavier Musketeers (21-11) take on the Texas Longhorns (19-15) in Dayton.

Xavier lost to Marquette in the Big East Tournament, 89-87. The loss snapped a seven-game win streak for the Musketeers. Zach Freemantle is averaging 17.3 points and 7.1 rebounds per game to lead Xavier.

Texas won their first two games of the SEC Tournament defeating Vanderbilt and then Texas A&M to secure their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Freshman Tre Johnson is the leading scorer for the Longhorns averaging 19.8 points per game.

These teams have met twice in the NCAA Tournament. Texas won 83-71 on March 24, 2023, and four years earlier to the day the Longhorns also defeated Xavier. They won in overtime, 78-76, on March 24, 2019.

Lets dive into Wednesday’s matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the opening tip, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Game details & how to watch Xavier vs. Texas

  • Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
  • Time: 9:10PM EST
  • Site: UD Arena
  • City: Dayton, OH
  • Network/Streaming: TruTV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest scores and player news. Check out our day-by-day NCAA Basketball Schedule Page that includes live game updates.

Game odds for Xavier vs. Texas

The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of BetMGM:

  • Odds: Xavier Musketeers (-155), Texas Longhorns (+125)
  • Spread: Xavier -2.5
  • Total: 149.5 points

Expert picks & predictions for Xavier vs. Texas

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, injuries, and the schedule.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s Musketeers vs. Longhorns game:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on Xavier on the Moneyline
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play ATS
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 149.5.

Xavier vs. Texas: Top betting trends and recent stats

  • Xavier is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games (17-14 for the season)
  • Texas games have cashed the OVER in 10 of their last 13 games (14-16-1 for the season)
  • These schools have met twice in the NCAA Tournament (2023 and 2019) with Texas winning both, each team covering the spread once (Texas in 2023 / Xavier in 2019), and both games surpassing the Game Total

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NCAA Basketball Top Trends Tool on NBCSports.com!

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

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Big East/Xavier.svg Xavier Musketeers
TEXAS.png Texas Longhorns
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